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I. Industry development
(1) Machine tool output has increased significantly
1. Metal cutting machine tool output increased by 32.3% year-on-year
From January to September, China's cumulative production of metal cutting machine tools was 545,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 32.3%. In September, China produced 66,000 metal cutting machine tools, a decrease of 2.9% from the previous month and a 32% increase from the same period last year.
2. CNC metal cutting machine tools increased by 66.51% year-on-year
From January to September, China produced a total of 157,822 CNC metal cutting machine tools, an increase of 66.51%. In September, 21,826 CNC metal cutting machine tools were produced, a 6.6% increase from the previous month, and a year-on-year increase of 73.15%. The growth rate dropped slightly from last month.
(II) The numerical control rate of machine tool output has reached a new high
From January to September, the average CNC production rate of the machine tool industry was 29%, higher than 24.5% in 2009. Among them, the numerical control rate of China's machine tool industry in September rose to 33%, hitting a new high for the year. However, the overall numerical control rate is still low, compared with the level of about 70% in developed countries, there is still room for improvement.
(3) Imports of machine tools show a continuous increase in price
1. Metal processing machine tools increased significantly year on year
From January to September, China imported a total of 79,820 metal processing machine tools, an increase of 69.8% year-on-year; the cumulative import value was about 6.565 billion US dollars, an increase of 45.9%; the average unit price of imports was 82,249 US dollars / Taiwan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.08%. In September, China imported 11,376 metal processing machine tools, an increase of 16.63% from the previous month, a substantial increase of 116.93% year-on-year; the import value was about 962 million US dollars, an increase of 16.09% from the previous month, a substantial increase of 76.4%. The average unit price of imports was US$84,600 per unit, a decrease of 0.47% from the previous month and a decrease of 18.69% from the same period last year.
2. Imports of CNC machine tools have increased significantly compared with the same period last year.
From January to September, China imported a total of 12,294 CNC machine tools, a year-on-year increase of 78.9%; the import value was 2.531 billion US dollars, an increase of 25.3%; the average import price was 1.87 million US dollars / Taiwan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.9%. In September, China imported 1,426 CNC machine tools, a decrease of 30.8% from the previous month and an increase of 57.7% from the same period of last year; the import volume reached US$391 million, up 25.7% from the previous month and up 57.7% from the same period of last year; the average import price was US$274,391 per unit, an increase of 81.5% from the previous month. %, flat year-on-year.
(4) Machine tool exports increased substantially, and the trade deficit continued to expand
From January to September, China exported a total of 5.727 million metal processing machine tools, an increase of 23.96% year-on-year; the cumulative export value was about 1.32 billion US dollars, an increase of 34.12%; the average export price was 235 US dollars / Taiwan, an increase of 6.5%.
From January to September, the trade deficit of China's metal processing machine tools was 5.294 billion US dollars, an increase of 1.765 billion US dollars over the same period of 2009. In September, the trade deficit of China's metal processing machine tools was US$808 million, an increase of US$145 million from the previous month and a significant increase of US$393 million from the same period last year.
Second, the existing problems
1. Global machine tool market demand declines
From a global perspective, machine tool orders in the world's major machine tool producing countries have fallen back from the first half of the year. Among them, the growth rate of Japanese machine tool orders fell from 262.2% in March to 113.6% in September; in August, the total machine tool orders in the United States was US$246 million, a decrease of 5.7% from the previous month; South Korea's machine tool orders were high from May to 380.603 billion won in the year. The point fell to 253.83 billion won in September. As the global economic recovery is still not stable, the European debt crisis may bring new impacts. At the same time, domestic raw material prices, labor costs, and exchange rate fluctuations will also have a certain degree of impact on future machine tool import and export trade. . In the future, with the basic release of accumulated investment energy in the market, the foundation for the industry's substantial growth is not stable.
2. ECFA may have an impact on some machine tool segments
The closely watched Cross-Strait Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) came into effect on September 12th. In the machine tool industry, the mainland promised to reduce the import of 107 mechanical products from Taiwan by 10%, including CNC horizontal lathes and CNC drilling machines. CNC surface grinder, other gold-cut CNC machine tools, grinding machine tools, grinders, polishing machine tools, inserting machines, broaching machines, sawing machines or cutting machines, planer, forging or stamping machines and forging hammers, non-CNC punching, slotting machines, punching Cut the dual-purpose machine and machine tool parts, tools and so on. Due to the strong market competitiveness of Taiwan's machine tools, China has always been the most important market for Taiwan's machine tools. From January to July, Taiwan's machine tools exported to the mainland and Hong Kong were worth 747 million US dollars, accounting for 48.2% of total exports. Year-on-year growth of 104%. Therefore, related machine tool enterprises are facing greater competitive pressures, especially for mid-range, small and medium-sized CNC machine tools and major functional components, which need to attract the attention of enterprises and industry departments.
3. Metal processing machine import and export growth rate is lower than non-host products
This year, the import and export of machine tool products in China has shown rapid growth, but the growth rate of import and export of metal processing machine tools is far lower than the growth rate of import and export of machine tool products, especially for export. The first to pick up the loss of cutting tools and abrasive tools. product. According to customs data, some low-value cutting tools are still being exported in large quantities, and the export of “two high and one capital†products such as silicon carbide and boron carbide has doubled. Recently, in order to control the export of high-energy-consuming products, the state has accelerated the elimination of backward production capacity and canceled the export tax rebate rate for some products. Although the machine tool products are not covered in this adjustment list, it is not excluded that the temporary and emergency measures taken in response to the financial crisis will be recalled in the future.
4. No obvious improvement in the structure of machine tool export products
Since the beginning of this year, the export of metalworking machine tools has shown a linear upward trend, and the growth of CNC metalworking machine tools has exceeded 66%. Among them: the export growth of CNC special processing machine tools, CNC lathes, CNC boring machines, CNC gantry milling machines, CNC forming bending machines exceeds the overall growth rate of CNC machine tools. However, the export price of CNC machine tools is mainly based on cheap economy, and the average export price has decreased from the previous year. In addition to the obvious increase in the average unit price of a few products such as CNC boring and milling machines and CNC milling machines, most of the products are either flat or have different degrees of decline. Among them, the average unit price of the processing center has the largest drop, which is -35.6%.
Third, countermeasures and recommendations
1. Consolidate and expand traditional markets and actively explore potential markets
The machine tool trade between China and emerging economies showed rapid development. The growth rate of machine tool exports to India, Brazil, Myanmar, Indonesia and Vietnam exceeded the overall export growth rate of machine tools by 44, 52, 128, 77, and 5 percentage points respectively. However, due to the high dependence of emerging economies on developed countries, developed countries are still the vane of machine tool trade. To this end, we must pay close attention to the development trend of economically developed countries and consolidate the existing market share; on the one hand, we must focus on exploring emerging markets and potential markets, and promote the diversification of export markets.
2. Strengthening cross-strait machine tool industry cooperation with ECFA
At present, ECFA is only a few framework clauses. It only determines some principles of the rules of origin for early harvesting of tax-reduction products. How to apply specifically and how to issue certificates of origin remains to be negotiated. In the future, ECFA should gradually shift from trade agreements to industrial cooperation to form an upstream and downstream industrial chain. It is suggested to establish a cross-strait industrial alliance to complement each other's advantages and resolve problems that may arise in cross-strait industrial cooperation. In addition, considering that if third-party goods or services enter Taiwan through Taiwan, it may have an adverse impact on the mainland industry. Therefore, the customs need to strictly control the principle of origin.
3. Further reduction of import tariffs on some key equipment and parts
In April, China revised the list of key equipment and products imported from major technical equipment and products, and 11 types of vertical and horizontal machining centers, CNC lathes, boring and milling machines, gear hobbing machines, gear shaping machines and gear grinding machines. The key components required for the equipment are exempt from customs duties, but some key equipment is still not in the list. Such as CNC high-precision grinding machines and their components, because the final precision of various types of components needs to be achieved by grinding machines. At present, the import of spare parts required for the independently developed CNC high-precision grinding machine is subject to customs duties. At the same time, the import of CNC high-precision grinding machines of the same grade can be exempted from customs duties, which is a blow to the enthusiasm of independent research and development. We should have an in-depth understanding of corporate needs and further optimize preferential tariff policies.
From January to September 2010, China's machine tool industry maintained a relatively high speed. The output of CNC machine tools increased to a new high during the year. At the same time, the import and export trade of machine tools still increased substantially. However, the increase in the import volume of machine tools has attracted the attention of the industry. In the future, China's machine tool industry will continue to grow, such as the overall situation of the export market is still severe, ECFA's impact on the industry, the appreciation of the renminbi, rising raw materials and labor costs and many other uncertain factors. This requires enterprises to actively adjust the industrial structure, explore emerging markets, and pay attention to the latest needs of downstream industries.